Melbourne Storm the benchmark during State of Origin period

Storm

Origin contenders: Cameron Munster, Ryan Papenhuyzen, Xavier Coates, Felise Kaufusi, Harry Grant

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Roosters (A); round 15 – Broncos (H); round 16 – Sea Eagles (A); round 17 – Sharks (A); round 18 – Raiders (H)

The breakdown: The toughest run of all after their bye, drawing the Roosters three days after game one and Broncos five days after game two and the Pacific Tests, when Kiwis Jahrome Hughes, Nelson Asofa-Solomona and the Bromwich boys back up from a typically brutal encounter with Tonga. Then it’s potentially full-strength Manly and Cronulla outfits.

Panthers

Origin contenders: Nathan Cleary, Jarome Luai, Isaah Yeo, Brian To’o, Liam Martin, Stephen Crichton, Api Koroisau

Draw: Round 13 – Bulldogs (H); round 14 – Knights (A); round 15 – Warriors (A); round 16 – Roosters (H); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Tigers (A)

The breakdown: Their bye and clash with struggling Canterbury are blessings as a record Origin contingent is on the cards. Will appreciate a full week’s turnaround from Origin II and the Pacific Tests – where most of their starting line-up will feature – into the Warriors. A round 18 tussle with the Tigers is a potential banana skin.

Cowboys

Origin contenders: Valentine Holmes, Kyle Feldt, Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, Jeremiah Nanai, Coen Hess, Reuben Cotter

Draw: Round 13 – Titans (A); round 14 – Dragons (H); round 15 – Sea Eagles (A); round 16 – Broncos (H); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Sharks (H)

The breakdown: A real litmus test given they travel to Penrith in round 12 as well. Will be sweating on wider Origin squad members returning to club duties against the Titans. The Dragons game is a tough turnaround given the travel from Sydney to Townsville the Friday after Origin I.

Broncos

Origin contenders: Payne Haas, Kotoni Staggs, Selwyn Cobbo, Corey Oates, Kurt Capewell, Patrick Carrigan, Tom Flegler

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Raiders (H); round 15 – Storm (A); round 16 – Cowboys (A); round 17 – Dragons (H); round 18 – Titans (A)

The breakdown: Adam Reynolds will be worth his weight in gold when their best are away. Face the Dragons without their Origin players and Raiders and Titans three days after Origins I and III when they’ll be feeling the brunt of that turnaround.

Selwyn Cobbo’s blistering form has him in line for a Queensland debut.Credit:NRL Photos/Gregg Porteous

Eels

Origin contenders: Junior Paulo, Reagan Campbell-Gillard, Ryan Matterson, Mitchell Moses

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Bulldogs (A); round 15 – Roosters (H); round 16 – Rabbitohs (A); round 17 – Tigers (A); round 18 – Warriors (H)

The breakdown: In good shape and may only lose Paulo for a trip to Leichhardt Oval. They don’t leave Sydney throughout the rep period and back up after game one against the lowly Bulldogs. Prime chance to set themselves up for a quality run into the finals.

Roosters

Origin contenders: James Tedesco, Angus Crichton, Lindsay Collins, Victor Radley

Draw: Round 13 – Raiders (A); round 14 – Storm (H); round 15 – Eels (A); round 16 – Panthers (A); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Dragons (H)

The breakdown: A quieter than usual Origin period for Trent Robinson and a potential advantage against Melbourne three days after Origin I. That said, it’s the toughest of runs early on, with the Storm, Eels and Panthers back-to-back before a welcome bye.

Roosters and Blues captain James Tedesco.Credit:Getty

Sharks

Origin contenders: Nicho Hynes, Siosifa Talakai, Dale Finucane

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Warriors (A); round 15 – Titans (H); round 16 – Bulldogs (A); round 17 – Storm (H); round 18 – Cowboys (A)

The breakdown: Cronulla’s bye is well timed given Jesse Ramien and Franklin Pele return afterwards, while Finucane is also expected back in round 16. Potentially won’t lose a single player to Origin duties, while facing a depleted Storm outfit and the Cowboys two days after Origin III.

Rabbitohs

Origin contenders: Latrell Mitchell, Cameron Murray, Damien Cook, Jai Arrow, Keaon Koloamatangi, Cody Walker

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Titans (A); round 15 – Dragons (A); round 16 – Eels (H); round 17 – Knights (A); round 18 – Bulldogs (A)

The breakdown: Facing their usual four or five absentees, but have done well out of the draw. Parramatta are the only top-eight team on their radar – when their stars won’t be absent or backing up from Origin. Getting Mitchell and Murray back in the next few weeks will be massive.

Sea Eagles

Origin contenders: Daly Cherry-Evans, Jake Trbojevic, Haumole Olakau’atu

Draw: Round 13 – Warriors (H); round 14 – Tigers (A); round 15 – Cowboys (H); round 16 – Storm (H); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Knights (H)

The breakdown: Face the Warriors at home without Cherry-Evans and, potentially, the Trbojevic brothers, but have a soft post-Origin I landing against the struggling Tigers. Karl Lawton, Jason Saab and Ben Trbojevic are all looking to return at the start of June as much-needed reinforcements, especially in light of Tom Trbojevic’s season-ending shoulder injury.

Dragons

Origin contenders: Ben Hunt, Tariq Sims, Francis Molo, Jack Bird

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Cowboys (A); round 15 – Rabbitohs (H); round 16 – Raiders (H); round 17 – Broncos (A); round 18 – Roosters (A)

The breakdown: Potentially lose just Hunt to Origin duties, but only catch the Broncos without their best. Decent chance to knock off the Cowboys and Roosters when their stars are backing up after Origins I and III.

Raiders

Origin contenders: Josh Papalii, Jack Wighton

Draw: Round 13 – Roosters (H); round 14 – Broncos (A); round 15 – Knights (H); round 16 – Dragons (A); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Storm (A)

The breakdown: Big games against the Roosters and Melbourne bookend their rep run. Should have the advantage after Origin I against Brisbane, while they and the Knights get a full seven-day turnaround following the stand-alone weekend when Canberra’s Kiwi stars are also away.

Warriors

Origin contenders: Reece Walsh

Draw: Round 13 – Sea Eagles (A); round 14 – Sharks (H); round 15 – Panthers (H); round 16 – Tigers (H); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Eels (A)

The breakdown: Should make hay during the Origin period, but rarely do. A depleted Manly in round 13 is another prime opportunity, as is a round 18 clash with Parramatta. Significantly, they return to New Zealand against the Tigers.

Titans

Origin contenders: AJ Brimson, David Fifita, Moeaki Fotuaika, Tino Fa’asuamaleaui

Draw: Round 13 – Cowboys (H); round 14 – Rabbitohs (H); round 15 – Sharks (A); round 16 – Knights (A); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Broncos (H)

The breakdown: Will lose shining light Fa’asuamaleaui and probably Fotuaika and Fifita as well, with North Queensland and the Rabbitohs also wearied by Origin duties. Should fare better than Brisbane after game three, but need to fire well before then to stay in the finals hunt.

Wests Tigers

Origin contenders: Joe Ofahengaue

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Sea Eagles (H); round 15 – Bulldogs (A); round 16 – Warriors (A); round 17 – Eels (H); round 18 – Panthers (H)

The breakdown: Unlikely to have any Origin absentees and have drawn Manly and the Panthers when their best are backing up. If they can trip up a high-flyer or two and knock off Canterbury again, a chance to drag themselves up the ladder beckons.

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Knights

Origin contenders: Kalyn Ponga, Dane Gagai, Daniel Saifiti, Tyson Frizell

Draw: Round 13 – bye; round 14 – Panthers (H); round 15 – Raiders (A); round 16 – Titans (H); round 17 – Rabbitohs (H); round 18 – Sea Eagles (A)

The breakdown: Have struggled with brutal injury tolls during recent rep periods, but should get Hymel Hunt, Kurt Mann and Jayden Brailey back this time round. Have tough games after Origins I and III against Penrith and Manly.

Bulldogs

Origin contenders: Josh Addo-Carr, Matt Burton

Draw: Round 13 – Panthers (A); round 14 – Eels (H); round 15 – Tigers (H); round 16 – Sharks (H); round 17 – bye; round 18 – Rabbitohs (H)

The breakdown: Have drawn Penrith when they will be without half-a-dozen Origin stars and face Parramatta and South Sydney when their big guns are backing up, but it’s a tough run given Cronulla also features in the six-week stretch.

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